4
Wondrous Light
4yo Filly · 9-9 · OR 75
Sandown · Inkerman Fillies' Handicap · 1m
#10
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Beverley | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Nottingham | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Nottingham | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-29 | Southwell | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-04-15 | Beverley | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-10-31 | Newmarket | 5 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 10-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -3.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 89% | +0.06 |
| 20/09/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 77% | +0.03 |
| 13/10/2025 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 44% | -0.21 |
| 31/10/2025 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 69% | -0.20 |
| 15/04/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 29/04/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 63% | -0.27 |
| 19/05/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 11/06/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 63% | -0.16 |
| 30/08/2026 | 9th | 7/1 | 63% | 20% | -0.43 |