6
Box Clever
3yo Filly · 9-5 · OR 76
Sandown · Trainor Stone & Tile Handicap · 1m 1f 209y
#7
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲1
Strength26%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Sandown | 5 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-08-21 | Salisbury | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-27 | Windsor | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-29 | Kempton | 5 | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2026-06-11 | Newbury | 5 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-04-26 | Nottingham | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 7-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -3.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 12/09/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 40% | -0.21 |
| 03/10/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 60% | -0.27 |
| 26/04/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 89% | +0.20 |
| 11/06/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 11% | -0.26 |
| 29/06/2026 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 18% | -0.29 |
| 27/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 21/08/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 28/08/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |