9
Brighton Beach
3yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 73
Sandown · Trainor Stone & Tile Handicap · 1m 1f 209y
#4
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Goodwood | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-08-01 | Thirsk | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Chester | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-04-25 | Haydock | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength70%
Delivery trend -1.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 43% | +0.38 |
| 10/07/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 0% | -0.84 |
| 01/08/2026 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 28/08/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 82% | +0.03 |