1
Mythological Star
3yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 80
Sandown · Trainor Stone & Tile Handicap · 1m 1f 209y
#3
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#3
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength10%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | Windsor | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-08-10 | Windsor | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-04 | Ffos Las | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-06 | Lingfield | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-01 | Lingfield | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-20 | Kempton | 5 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 4-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength28%
Delivery trend -15.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/05/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 01/06/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 06/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 82% | +0.08 |
| 04/08/2026 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 10/08/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 13/08/2026 | 3rd | 4/6 | 96% | 33% | -0.63 |