4
Raspoutine
3yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 77
Sandown · Trainor Stone & Tile Handicap · 1m 1f 209y
#9
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength36%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-19 | Redcar | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Lingfield | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Salisbury | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-04-23 | Southwell | 6 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-04-14 | Lingfield | 6 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-08-16 | Ripon | 2 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 2-11 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength46%
Delivery trend +0.8% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 8th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 24/07/2025 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 07/08/2025 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/08/2025 | 8th | 125/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 14/04/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 23/04/2026 | 2nd | 4/7 | 97% | 80% | -0.17 |
| 23/05/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 73% | -0.09 |
| 04/06/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 19/06/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 75% | +0.17 |