11

The Golden Snitch

3yo Gelding · 9-1 · OR 72

Sandown · Trainor Stone & Tile Handicap · 1m 1f 209y

#10

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Timeform

Commentary

Held up off a strong pace when fourth in a Doncaster novice on debut and subsequent efforts suggest he was flattered that day. Up in trip on handicap debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength12%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 8.8 /10 (raw 8.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Doncaster 29/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 7f6y GS 13029/0344 @ Newbury 18/04/2026 · Pos 19th of 25 · OR - · 1m Goo 13318/0445 @ Kempton 20/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 7f Sta 12920/0554 @ Chepstow 03/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 75 · 7f16y Goo 133 · beat its mark03/07/2026 · OR 75 par3/074OR 75projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-03Chepstow44th4th0
2026-05-20Kempton57th8th1
2026-04-18Newbury419th19th0
2026-03-29Doncaster44th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0318/0420/053/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 2-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -15.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/03/20264th100/10%73%+0.73
18/04/202619th40/10%25%+0.25
20/05/20267th9/276%14%-0.62
03/07/20264th22/10%50%+0.50