Albertini Star
3yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 62
Sandown · Trainor Stone & Tile Mosaic Fillies' Handicap · 1m 1f 209y
#2
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
43%
Place Prob
45%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 5.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Sandown | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Nottingham | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-26 | Southwell | 5 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-10-07 | Leicester | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-08-05 | Newbury | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +13.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 22% | +0.06 |
| 07/10/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 38% | +0.01 |
| 26/11/2025 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 02/07/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 86% | +0.70 |
| 23/07/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 18/08/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |