9

Champagne Beau

3yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 57

Sandown · Trainor Stone & Tile Mosaic Fillies' Handicap · 1m 1f 209y

#11

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Made a bit more of an impact when mid-field at Windsor on handicap bow last time but she was still 10 lengths off the winner having again made a mess of the start, while this drop back in trip looks another negative.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength47%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 7.5)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Windsor 08/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 1m31y Goo 125 · HIGHER CLASS8/0644 @ Windsor 13/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 1m31y GF 125 · HIGHER CLASS13/0743 @ Lingfield 13/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 1m2f1y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS13/0836 @ Windsor 29/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 59 · 1m3f99y Sft 134 · beat its mark29/08/2026 · OR 59 par29/086OR 59projClass-projected finish: 7th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Windsor66th7th1
2026-08-13Lingfield37th5th+2
2026-07-13Windsor48th7th+1
2026-06-08Windsor49th8th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0613/0713/0829/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 5-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength45%

Delivery trend +6.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/06/20269th150/10%20%+0.20
13/07/20268th250/10%30%+0.30
13/08/20267th200/10%25%+0.25
29/08/20266th16/116%58%+0.43