Florizelle
3yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 56
Sandown · Trainor Stone & Tile Mosaic Fillies' Handicap · 1m 1f 209y
#10
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 6.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Salisbury | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Windsor | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-05-19 | Nottingham | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-03-17 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/03/2026 | 5th | 125/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/05/2026 | 6th | 300/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 08/06/2026 | 8th | 125/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 21/08/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |