Mmmbop

3yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 65

Sandown · Trainor Stone & Tile Mosaic Fillies' Handicap · 1m 1f 209y

#8

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★★ Timeform

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark

Move▬

Strength50%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 4

Recent avg: C4.5

Today: 5

Class gap: +0.5

Higher-class runs: 3

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-09	Kempton	6	4th	5th	−1	4.8
2026-05-27	Kempton	4	8th	7th	+1	3.2
2026-04-30	Kempton	4	3rd	2nd	+1	8.2
2026-04-08	Kempton	4	5th	4th	+1	6.2

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%

▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price

Trend▼

Strength54%

Delivery trend -23.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
08/04/2026	5th	125/1	0%	50%	+0.50
30/04/2026	3rd	150/1	0%	82%	+0.82
27/05/2026	8th	40/1	0%	22%	+0.22
09/09/2026	4th	11/4	86%	77%	-0.09