5
Mystic Music
3yo Filly · 9-4 · OR 63
Sandown · Trainor Stone & Tile Mosaic Fillies' Handicap · 1m 1f 209y
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Lingfield | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Windsor | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-05 | Southwell | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-03-12 | Chelmsford City | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength46%
Delivery trend -12.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/03/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 05/04/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 10/08/2026 | 2nd | 50/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 03/09/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 25% | -0.28 |