2

Sweet Horizon

3yo Filly · 9-9 · OR 68

Sandown · Trainor Stone & Tile Mosaic Fillies' Handicap · 1m 1f 209y

#3

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Left debut form well behind fitted with headgear when second of 5 in novice at Nottingham. Disappointed at Windsor next time but steady pace might have been against her, so worth another chance on handicap bow.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength61%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Wolverhampton 28/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 1m1f104y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS28/0644 @ Nottingham 17/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR - · 1m2f50y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS17/0744 @ Windsor 27/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR - · 1m2f GF 126 · HIGHER CLASS27/074projClass-projected finish: 1st of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-27Windsor43rd2nd+1
2026-07-17Nottingham42nd1st+1
2026-06-28Wolverhampton48th7th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0617/0727/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength66%

Delivery trend -3.8% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/06/20268th7/163%30%-0.33
17/07/20262nd28/10%75%+0.75
27/07/20263rd7/491%50%-0.41