8
Topathemorning
3yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 58
Sandown · Trainor Stone & Tile Mosaic Fillies' Handicap · 1m 1f 209y
#9
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength63%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Beverley | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Southwell | 6 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-06-18 | Yarmouth | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-05-21 | Southwell | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-09-27 | Newmarket | 2 | 6th | 2nd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 6-11 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -6.5% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 11th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09/2025 | 6th | 80/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 21/05/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 60% | +0.18 |
| 18/06/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 27/07/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 29/08/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |