5

Candyman Andy

3yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 32

Thistledown · Race 2 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f

#5

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Thistledown 27/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 5f110y Fas 11927/08C6
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-27Thistledown?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 6-11 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength54%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/08/20268th20/10%13%+0.13