7
Delightful Appeal
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 27
Thistledown · Race 2 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength16%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-08-24 | Mountaineer | ? | 6th | 9th | −3 |
| 2026-08-13 | Thistledown | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 9th | −3 |
| 2026-07-06 | Mountaineer | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 7-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -5.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/04/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 13/05/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 02/06/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 20/06/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 06/07/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/07/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 13/08/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 24/08/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 08/09/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |