2
Classic David
3yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 46
Thistledown · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼2
Strength72%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 7.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-08-13 | Thistledown | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-08-04 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Thistledown | ? | 9th | 6th | +3 |
| 2025-11-05 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 11th | 8th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength29%
Delivery trend +1.3% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 4th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11/2025 | 11th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 07/07/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 04/08/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 13/08/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 27/08/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |