3
Remix From Phoenix
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 27
Thistledown · Race 4 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2025-05-14 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-04-29 | Thistledown | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-04-10 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-03-26 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-03-12 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength68%
Delivery trend +1.1% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10/2024 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 12/12/2024 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 28/12/2024 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 12/03/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 26/03/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 10/04/2025 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 33% | -0.27 |
| 29/04/2025 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 11% | -0.42 |
| 14/05/2025 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 07/09/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |