6
My Brother Cam
7yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 80
Thistledown · Race 5 - Allowance · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Thistledown | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-08-11 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Thistledown | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-07-09 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-28 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2025-09-26 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 4-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength4%
Delivery trend -2.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 08/07/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 57% | -0.09 |
| 03/09/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |
| 26/09/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 28/10/2025 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 09/07/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 21/07/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 11/08/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/08/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |