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Sound City

3yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 63

Thistledown · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f

#4

Rank

Odds

9/5

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼3
Strength99%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.9
Today:
Class gap: +2.6
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Thistledown 06/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 42 · 5f110y Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/08/2025 · OR 42 par6/08C6OR 42C6 @ Thistledown 25/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 45 · 5f110y 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/08/2025 · OR 45 parC5 @ Mahoning Valley 25/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 48 · 1m110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/10/2025 · OR 48 par25/10C5OR 48C5 @ Mahoning Valley 18/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 51 · 6f Slo 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/12/2025 · OR 51 parC5 @ Thistledown 29/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 57 · 5f110y 115 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/04/2026 · OR 57 par29/04C5OR 57C5 @ Thistledown 24/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 62 · 6f Fas 115 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/06/2026 · OR 62 parC5 @ Thistledown 09/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 61 · 6f 115 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/07/2026 · OR 61 par9/07C5OR 61C5 @ Thistledown 29/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 63 · 6f 115 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/07/2026 · OR 63 parC5 @ Thistledown 02/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 65 · 6f 115 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/09/2026 · OR 65 par2/09C5OR 65projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Thistledown?1st-2th+3
2026-07-29Thistledown?2nd-1th+3
2026-07-09Thistledown?3rd0th+3
2026-06-24Thistledown?2nd-1th+3
2026-04-29Thistledown?5th2nd+3
2025-12-18Mahoning Valley?4th0th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0818/129/072/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength68%

Delivery trend -5.1% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/08/20252nd9/153%88%+0.35
25/08/20251st4/696%100%+0.04
25/10/20259th40/10%20%+0.20
18/12/20254th16/116%70%+0.54
29/04/20265th7/491%20%-0.71
24/06/20262nd11/271%86%+0.15
09/07/20263rd11/486%60%-0.26
29/07/20262nd1/195%83%-0.11
02/09/20261st4/797%100%+0.03