6
Vertisalute
5yo Mare · 8-4 · OR 62
Thistledown · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength68%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Thistledown | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-08-13 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-07-15 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2025-10-10 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 3-5 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength43%
Delivery trend +2.3% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 06/08/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 02/09/2025 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 75% | -0.19 |
| 10/10/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 22/06/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 01/07/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 25% | -0.28 |
| 15/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 13/08/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 25/08/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |