Sundaeswithsandy
7yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 90
Thistledown · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
7/5
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-05-16 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-08-09 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-07-03 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 02/05/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 60% | -0.24 |
| 25/05/2025 | 7th | 9/4 | 88% | 14% | -0.74 |
| 03/07/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 29% | -0.45 |
| 09/08/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 16/05/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 01/07/2026 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 0% | -0.87 |
| 10/07/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 09/08/2026 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 71% | -0.20 |