5
Grecian Ruler
4yo Gelding · 9-4
Toulouse · Prix De La Garonne Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#15
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.8 /10 (raw 7.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Tarbes | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Mont De Marsan | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 150% of fieldRange 10-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -7.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 15th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/03/2026 | 12th | 28/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 01/04/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 21/05/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 11/06/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 18/06/2026 | 12th | 6/1 | 68% | 8% | -0.60 |
| 15/07/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 29/07/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 64% | +0.37 |
| 10/08/2026 | 12th | 12/1 | 37% | 8% | -0.29 |
| 29/08/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 31% | -0.06 |