8
Gwenn Ha Du
6yo Gelding · 8-11
Toulouse · Prix De La Garonne Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#4
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 7.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Dax | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-18 | Pornichet | 4 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-01-24 | Pornichet | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-01-03 | Pornichet | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-12-14 | Pornichet | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1593% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength53%
Delivery trend -3.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10/2025 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 46% | -0.06 |
| 29/10/2025 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 22/11/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 14/12/2025 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 29% | +0.13 |
| 03/01/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 22% | +0.17 |
| 24/01/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 18/02/2026 | 15th | 12/1 | 37% | 7% | -0.30 |
| 17/07/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 54% | +0.12 |
| 19/08/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 57% | -0.14 |