10

Karkhov

8yo Gelding · 8-10

Toulouse · Prix De La Garonne Handicap · 1m 1f 207y

#1

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

31%

Place Prob

22%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength9%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 7.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Dax 20/08/2024 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 1m3f95y GS 13220/08C?C0 @ Salon-De-Provence 09/09/2024 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 1m208y Ver 132C0 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 13/10/2024 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f97y Sft 12513/10C?C0 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 05/11/2024 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR - · 1m1f97y Hvy 124C0 @ Pau 08/01/2025 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 1258/01C?C0 @ Pau 17/01/2025 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 119C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 02/02/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 1182/02C?C0 @ Pau 18/02/2025 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 121C0 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 05/03/2025 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f97y Hvy 1305/03C?projClass-projected finish: 4th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-03-05Bordeaux Le Bouscat?11th11th0
2025-02-18Pau?6th6th0
2025-02-02Cagnes-sur-Mer?1st1st0
2025-01-17Pau?5th5th0
2025-01-08Pau?7th7th0
2024-11-05Bordeaux Le Bouscat?11th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/085/112/025/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1579% of fieldRange 15-15 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -5.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 15. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/08/20249th25/10%11%+0.11
09/09/20249th12/137%20%-0.17
13/10/202412th40/10%21%+0.21
05/11/202411th25/10%17%+0.17
08/01/20257th15/261%57%-0.03
17/01/20255th11/271%73%+0.02
02/02/20251st7/491%100%+0.09
18/02/20256th5/287%67%-0.20
05/03/202511th3/184%33%-0.51