10

Karkhov
8yo Gelding · 8-10
Toulouse · Prix De La Garonne Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#1
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
31%
Place Prob
22%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 7.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-05 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-02-18 | Pau | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-02-02 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-01-17 | Pau | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-01-08 | Pau | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2024-11-05 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1579% of fieldRange 15-15 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -5.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08/2024 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 09/09/2024 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 13/10/2024 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 05/11/2024 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 08/01/2025 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 57% | -0.03 |
| 17/01/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 73% | +0.02 |
| 02/02/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 18/02/2025 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 67% | -0.20 |
| 05/03/2025 | 11th | 3/1 | 84% | 33% | -0.51 |