14

Khelle Tartare

7yo Mare · 8-1

Toulouse · Prix De La Garonne Handicap · 1m 1f 207y

#11

Rank

Odds

13/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 7.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vichy 30/07/2025 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 11230/07C?C0 @ La Teste De Buch 06/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 118C0 @ Vichy 22/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f207y Hvy 12922/09C?C0 @ Lignieres 01/11/2025 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 113C5 @ Saint-Cloud 14/11/2025 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR - · 1m4f94y Sft 11714/11C5C0 @ Toulouse 23/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f207y Hvy 1134 @ Toulouse 18/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m3f204y Ver 11618/0344 @ Moulins 09/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 1244 @ Toulouse 27/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m3f204y Gd 11227/054projClass-projected finish: 8th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-27Toulouse44th4th0
2026-04-09Moulins410th10th0
2026-03-18Toulouse48th8th0
2025-11-23Toulouse?6th6th0
2025-11-14Saint-Cloud?11th11th0
2025-11-01Lignieres?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/071/1118/0327/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1557% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength80%

Delivery trend +4.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/07/20256th16/116%58%+0.43
06/09/20254th12/137%63%+0.26
22/09/20259th8/158%43%-0.15
01/11/202510th9/153%10%-0.43
14/11/202511th100/10%29%+0.29
23/11/20256th28/10%64%+0.64
18/03/20268th25/10%46%+0.46
09/04/202610th18/15%10%+0.05
27/05/20264th25/10%70%+0.70