13
La Fille De Berlin
9yo Mare · 8-7
Toulouse · Prix De La Garonne Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#6
Rank
Odds
60/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-16 | Mont De Marsan | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-07-05 | Deauville | ? | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2025-06-26 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-06-11 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-06-02 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-05-21 | Toulouse | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1529% of fieldRange 12-15 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -8.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/04/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 20/04/2025 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 46% | +0.04 |
| 29/04/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 93% | +0.56 |
| 21/05/2025 | 9th | 6/1 | 68% | 38% | -0.30 |
| 02/06/2025 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 11/06/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 93% | +0.32 |
| 26/06/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 93% | +0.32 |
| 05/07/2025 | 15th | 7/2 | 82% | 7% | -0.75 |
| 16/07/2025 | 12th | 8/1 | 58% | 21% | -0.36 |