11

Mana Sis

6yo Mare · 8-10

Toulouse · Prix De La Garonne Handicap · 1m 1f 207y

#5

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

4%

Place Prob

8%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength12%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 7.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ La Teste De Buch 30/08/2024 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 7f209y Ver 12430/08C?C0 @ Toulouse 25/09/2024 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 131C0 @ Pau 13/11/2024 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 7f209y Std 12813/11C?C0 @ Deauville 04/12/2024 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 131C0 @ La Teste De Buch 02/06/2025 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f97y GS 1312/06C?C0 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 11/06/2025 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 7f209y Gd 125C0 @ Deauville 05/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f97y GS 1275/07C?C0 @ La Teste De Buch 19/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 7f209y Gd 125C0 @ Saint-Malo 01/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m208y Sft 1311/08C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-08-01Saint-Malo?3rd3rd0
2025-07-19La Teste De Buch?3rd3rd0
2025-07-05Deauville?4th4th0
2025-06-11Bordeaux Le Bouscat?9th9th0
2025-06-02La Teste De Buch?13th13th0
2024-12-04Deauville?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/084/125/071/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1543% of fieldRange 13-15 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -9.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 15. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/08/20241st22/10%100%+1.00
25/09/20241st13/266%100%+0.34
13/11/20248th25/10%53%+0.53
04/12/20244th8/158%79%+0.21
02/06/202513th16/116%14%-0.02
11/06/20259th25/10%43%+0.43
05/07/20254th9/153%79%+0.26
19/07/20253rd3/184%85%+0.00
01/08/20253rd9/488%82%-0.06