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7

Miss Parano

5yo Filly · 8-11

Toulouse · Prix De La Garonne Handicap · 1m 1f 207y

#2

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

42%

Place Prob

26%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength6%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 8.1)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ La Teste De Buch 02/06/2025 · Pos 15th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f97y GS 1242/06C?4 @ Pau 09/01/2026 · Pos 13th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 1314 @ Pau 16/01/2026 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 13016/0144 @ Pau 23/01/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 1204 @ Pau 08/02/2026 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 1258/024C0 @ Pau 23/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 1254 @ Mont De Marsan 12/03/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 7f209y Hvy 12512/0344 @ Toulouse 27/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 1m3f204y Gd 1174 @ Vichy 15/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 11915/084projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-15Vichy41st1st0
2026-05-27Toulouse47th7th0
2026-03-12Mont De Marsan410th10th0
2026-02-23Pau?8th8th0
2026-02-08Pau410th10th0
2026-01-23Pau49th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0623/0112/0315/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 15100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +3.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/06/202515th33/10%7%+0.07
09/01/202613th28/10%20%+0.20
16/01/20269th28/10%43%+0.43
23/01/20269th25/10%27%+0.27
08/02/202610th20/10%40%+0.40
23/02/20268th33/10%50%+0.50
12/03/202610th18/15%36%+0.30
27/05/20267th14/126%40%+0.14
15/08/20261st12/137%100%+0.63