2
Piraillan
4yo Gelding · 9-6
Toulouse · Prix De La Garonne Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#14
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 7.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Dax | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Dax | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Dax | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Toulouse | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-18 | Toulouse | 4 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1514% of fieldRange 2-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength25%
Delivery trend +2.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/2025 | 11th | 11/2 | 71% | 9% | -0.62 |
| 19/01/2026 | 13th | 25/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 23/02/2026 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 18/03/2026 | 14th | 28/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 06/04/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 18/05/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 01/07/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 29% | -0.32 |
| 17/07/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 43% | -0.40 |
| 23/08/2026 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |