1
Sedition
4yo Filly · 9-6
Toulouse · Prix De La Garonne Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#3
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
10%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 7.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Dax | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Deauville | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Dax | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Dax | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Dax | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Dax | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1571% of fieldRange 3-15 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength27%
Delivery trend -4.6% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 11/05/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 08/06/2026 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 29/06/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 69% | +0.06 |
| 08/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 91% | +0.17 |
| 17/07/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 31/07/2026 | 11th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 11/08/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 23/08/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |