15
Slayer
9yo Gelding · 8-1
Toulouse · Prix De La Garonne Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#13
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 7.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-08 | Saint-Cloud | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Toulouse | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Saint-Cloud | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Argentan | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-23 | Pau | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1521% of fieldRange 3-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength40%
Delivery trend +2.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/04/2025 | 12th | 18/1 | 5% | 15% | +0.10 |
| 11/06/2025 | 14th | 25/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 14/10/2025 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 23/02/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 21/03/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 09/04/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 15/05/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 47% | +0.31 |
| 08/06/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 08/07/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 64% | +0.04 |