12

Spichope
4yo Filly · 8-8
Toulouse · Prix De La Garonne Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#12
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Tarbes | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Mont De Marsan | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Dax | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Argentan | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 157% of fieldRange 11-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -4.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/02/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 06/03/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 13/03/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 42% | -0.06 |
| 09/04/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 60% | +0.55 |
| 03/06/2026 | 13th | 50/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 29/06/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 54% | +0.17 |
| 15/07/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 29/07/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 36% | +0.10 |
| 29/08/2026 | 12th | 11/1 | 42% | 15% | -0.27 |