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10

Amity

4yo Filly · 8-11

Toulouse · Prix De La Croix Falgarde Handicap · 1m 1f 207y

#3

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

11%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength6%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Pau 08/02/2026 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 1308/0234 @ Le Mans 04/03/2026 · Pos 15th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f152y Hvy 1254 @ La Teste De Buch 21/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m1f97y Sft 12321/0344 @ La Teste De Buch 03/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f97y GS 1234 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 15/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 12315/0644 @ Tarbes 03/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 7f100y Sft 1314 @ La Teste De Buch 05/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m1f207y Gd 1275/0844 @ La Teste De Buch 10/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 7f209y GS 1234 @ La Teste De Buch 26/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 1m208y Sft 12326/084projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26La Teste De Buch45th5th0
2026-08-10La Teste De Buch42nd2nd0
2026-08-05La Teste De Buch41st1st0
2026-07-03Tarbes410th10th0
2026-06-15Bordeaux Le Bouscat49th9th0
2026-06-03La Teste De Buch48th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/023/065/0826/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1586% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength76%

Delivery trend -1.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 15.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/02/20269th22/10%43%+0.43
04/03/202615th12/137%0%-0.37
21/03/20263rd33/10%87%+0.87
03/06/20268th12/137%53%+0.16
15/06/20269th10/147%47%-0.01
03/07/202610th15/261%25%-0.36
05/08/20261st9/153%100%+0.47
10/08/20262nd17/255%92%+0.36
26/08/20265th6/168%73%+0.05