IvyArcIvyArc
13

Angel Charly

6yo Mare · 8-9

Toulouse · Prix De La Croix Falgarde Handicap · 1m 1f 207y

#5

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Toulouse 23/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m1f207y Hvy 12823/11C?C0 @ Pau 16/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 1283 @ Pau 09/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 1329/0134 @ Pau 23/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 1293 @ Pau 08/02/2026 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 1318/023C0 @ Pau 23/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 1304 @ La Teste De Buch 21/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f97y Sft 12721/0344 @ La Teste De Buch 05/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR - · 1m1f207y Gd 1324 @ La Teste De Buch 19/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 15819/084projClass-projected finish: 12th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-19La Teste De Buch46th6th0
2026-08-05La Teste De Buch411th11th0
2026-03-21La Teste De Buch45th5th0
2026-02-23Pau?6th6th0
2026-02-08Pau313th13th0
2026-01-23Pau44th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/1123/0121/0319/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1550% of fieldRange 15-15 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -7.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 15. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/11/20252nd6/168%92%+0.24
16/12/20253rd5/287%86%-0.01
09/01/20263rd7/282%85%+0.03
23/01/20264th10/382%73%-0.10
08/02/202613th11/271%14%-0.57
23/02/20266th5/174%64%-0.09
21/03/20265th13/266%73%+0.08
05/08/202611th5/174%17%-0.57
19/08/20266th4/179%29%-0.50