11
Atamak
4yo Gelding · 8-11
Toulouse · Prix De La Croix Falgarde Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#10
Rank
Odds
13/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 6.9)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Dax | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Dax | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Dax | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Toulouse | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-02-18 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 3 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-02-09 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 3 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1557% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength59%
Delivery trend +5.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/05/2025 | 8th | 15/8 | 90% | 22% | -0.68 |
| 04/06/2025 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 42% | -0.24 |
| 19/01/2026 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 09/02/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 18/02/2026 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/04/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 08/07/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 73% | +0.36 |
| 17/07/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 92% | +0.07 |
| 23/08/2026 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 42% | -0.24 |