8
Malicia
4yo Filly · 8-12
Toulouse · Prix De La Croix Falgarde Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 6.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-03-08 | Chantilly | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-08 | Pau | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-23 | Pau | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-02 | Pau | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1579% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength88%
Delivery trend +4.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 55% | -0.19 |
| 12/11/2025 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |
| 28/11/2025 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 02/01/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 23/01/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 08/02/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 08/03/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 58% | +0.06 |
| 05/08/2026 | 13th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 26/08/2026 | 12th | 22/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |