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Mimosa Des Sources

4yo Gelding · 9-4

Toulouse · Prix De La Croix Falgarde Handicap · 1m 1f 207y

#12

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Mont De Marsan 14/09/2024 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 12814/09C5C5 @ Toulouse 11/10/2024 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 12811/10C5C8 @ La Teste De Buch 02/04/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 2m198y Sft 1472/04C84 @ La Teste De Buch 26/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m208y Sft 13226/084projClass-projected finish: 10th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26La Teste De Buch47th7th0
2026-03-10Bordeaux Le Bouscat?0
2026-02-17Toulouse?0
2025-04-02La Teste De Buch?5th5th0
2024-10-11Toulouse?8th8th0
2024-09-14Mont De Marsan?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0911/102/0426/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1536% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength53%

Delivery trend +14.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/09/20244th17/255%57%+0.02
11/10/20248th22/10%0%0.00
02/04/20255th22/10%20%+0.20
26/08/20267th16/116%60%+0.44