1
Tamaghu
4yo Gelding · 9-6
Toulouse · Prix De La Croix Falgarde Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#6
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Tarbes | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Mont De Marsan | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Dax | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | La Teste De Buch | 3 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-02-20 | Pau | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-20 | Pau | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1564% of fieldRange 5-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength40%
Delivery trend +2.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/2025 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 16/12/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |
| 26/12/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 93% | +0.30 |
| 20/01/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 70% | -0.06 |
| 20/02/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 62% | +0.25 |
| 21/03/2026 | 14th | 25/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 08/07/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 82% | +0.56 |
| 17/08/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 29/08/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |