9

Ajouz

3yo Filly · 8-11

Toulouse · Prix Mona Lisa Stakes · 1m 2f 96y

#3

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

10%

Place Prob

14%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Mont De Marsan 29/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 1m1f207y Gd 11929/07C5C5 @ Tarbes 29/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f96y GS 12829/08C5projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 3
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Tarbes?7th7th0
2026-07-29Mont De Marsan?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0729/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1687% of fieldRange 7-7 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength57%

Delivery trend +11.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/07/20263rd11/1094%60%-0.34
29/08/20267th6/168%45%-0.23