9
Lady Falcon Cen
2yo Filly · 9-2
Toulouse · Prix Des Violettes Maiden Stakes · 7f 209y
#4
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Compiegne | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength53%
Delivery trend -19.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 10/07/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 26/08/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 73% | -0.10 |