2
Dawwaas
3yo Colt · 9-2
Toulouse · Prix Frederic Bouas Stakes · 1m 2f 96y
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength23%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.7 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.1
Today:
Class gap: +1.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 4th | -1th | +4 |
| 2026-07-31 | Dax | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1593% of fieldRange 5-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength51%
Delivery trend -9.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |
| 31/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 89% | -0.04 |
| 26/08/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |