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Mimosa Star

3yo Colt · 9-4

Toulouse · Prix Frederic Bouas Stakes · 1m 2f 96y

#1

Rank

Odds

18/1

Win Prob

95%

Place Prob

68%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 05/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 1235/05C5C5 @ La Teste De Buch 15/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 7f209y GS 12515/05C5C5 @ La Teste De Buch 01/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 1281/07C5C5 @ Mont De Marsan 29/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 1m1f207y Gd 12829/07C5projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 3
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-29Mont De Marsan?1st1st0
2026-07-01La Teste De Buch?6th6th0
2026-05-15La Teste De Buch?5th5th0
2026-05-05Bordeaux Le Bouscat?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0515/051/0729/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1579% of fieldRange 10-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength18%

Delivery trend -8.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 15. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/05/20264th22/10%50%+0.50
15/05/20265th28/10%33%+0.33
01/07/20266th33/10%17%+0.17
29/07/20261st11/271%100%+0.29