2
Canncity
2yo Colt · 9-2
Toulouse · Prix Du Mesnil Maiden Stakes · 7f 209y
#5
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength54%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 0 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 7.3)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.2
Today:
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Mont De Marsan | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Mont De Marsan | 2 | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2026-06-15 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 3 | 12th | 10th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength70%
Delivery trend -8.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/06/2026 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 23/07/2026 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 17/08/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 36% | -0.16 |