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6

El Lagar

2yo Colt · 9-2

Toulouse · Prix Du Mesnil Maiden Stakes · 7f 209y

#3

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ La Teste De Buch 01/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 1231/07C5C5 @ Mont De Marsan 26/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y GS 12826/07C5C5 @ La Teste De Buch 26/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 12826/08C5projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 3
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26La Teste De Buch?3rd3rd0
2026-07-26Mont De Marsan?8th8th0
2026-07-01La Teste De Buch?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0726/0726/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +14.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/07/20267th33/10%54%+0.54
26/07/20268th16/116%13%-0.03
26/08/20263rd28/10%83%+0.83