1
Scaty Chop
2yo Colt · 9-2
Toulouse · Prix Du Mesnil Maiden Stakes · 7f 209y
#1
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
88%
Place Prob
66%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Mont De Marsan | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Mont De Marsan | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength98%
Delivery trend -8.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 63% | +0.47 |
| 17/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 91% | +0.38 |