7

Spanish Nation Cen

2yo Colt · 9-2

Toulouse · Prix Du Mesnil Maiden Stakes · 7f 209y

#6

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 10.0 /10 (raw 10.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Mont De Marsan 17/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 6f211y GS 12317/08C5
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-17Mont De Marsan?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 8-13 · 50%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength6%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/08/202610th10/147%18%-0.29