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2

Horizon De Tanues

9yo Gelding · 9-6

Toulouse · Prix Andre Lahouille Stakes · 1m 3f 204y

#1

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

91%

Place Prob

66%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Toulouse 03/03/2025 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m3f204y Gd 1333/03C5C5 @ Mont De Marsan 23/03/2025 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m4f39y 131C5 @ La Teste De Buch 24/04/2025 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 1m3f204y Ver 13024/04C5C5 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 24/05/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 1m3f204y Gd 125C5 @ La Teste De Buch 27/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 12127/06C5C5 @ Mont De Marsan 16/07/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m4f39y Gd 128C5 @ Craon 07/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 1m3f204y Hvy 1257/09C5C5 @ Toulouse 16/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 130C5 @ La Teste De Buch 10/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 13210/08C5projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-10La Teste De Buch?4th4th0
2025-11-16Toulouse?9th9th0
2025-09-07Craon?2nd2nd0
2025-07-16Mont De Marsan?7th7th0
2025-06-27La Teste De Buch?5th5th0
2025-05-24Bordeaux Le Bouscat?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0324/057/0910/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength80%

Delivery trend -4.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/03/20251st14/126%100%+0.74
23/03/20251st7/282%100%+0.18
24/04/20256th14/126%50%+0.24
24/05/20259th25/10%11%+0.11
27/06/20255th66/10%50%+0.50
16/07/20257th22/10%33%+0.33
07/09/20252nd33/10%83%+0.83
16/11/20259th33/10%0%0.00
10/08/20264th8/158%50%-0.08