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5

Mauzac

4yo Gelding · 9-2

Toulouse · Prix Andre Lahouille Stakes · 1m 3f 204y

#4

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Toulouse 09/03/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 1m1f207y Gd 1289/03C5C5 @ Dax 01/05/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 1m2f96y GS 1301/05C5C5 @ Dax 19/05/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 1m2f96y Gd 13019/05C5C5 @ Mont De Marsan 24/08/2025 · Pos 15th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f151y Sft 13024/08C5projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-08-24Mont De Marsan?15th15th0
2025-05-19Dax?2nd2nd0
2025-05-01Dax?6th6th0
2025-03-09Toulouse?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/031/0519/0524/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 8-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -30.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/03/20253rd33/10%60%+0.60
01/05/20256th22/10%38%+0.38
19/05/20252nd10/147%86%+0.38
24/08/202515th11/142%0%-0.42