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5

Chakifa

4yo Filly · 8-11

Toulouse · Prix Kann Stakes · 1m 2f 205y

#4

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Toulouse 16/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 1m2f96y Sft 12316/11C5C5 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 11/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f97y GS 12311/04C5C5 @ La Teste De Buch 01/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 1m1f97y Gd 1231/07C5C5 @ La Teste De Buch 05/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 1m1f207y Gd 1235/09C5projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05La Teste De Buch?3rd3rd0
2026-07-01La Teste De Buch?6th6th0
2026-04-11Bordeaux Le Bouscat?11th11th0
2025-11-16Toulouse?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/1111/041/075/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength39%

Delivery trend -10.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/11/20254th18/15%50%+0.45
11/04/202611th16/116%9%-0.07
01/07/20266th12/137%17%-0.20
05/09/20263rd8/158%71%+0.14