3
Sky Amber Krf
4yo Colt · 9-2
Toulouse · Prix Kann Stakes · 1m 2f 205y
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
55%
Place Prob
51%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength76%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.5
Today:
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | La Teste De Buch | 1 | 6th | 1st | +4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Toulouse | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 7th | 2nd | +4 |
| 2026-04-11 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-01 | Toulouse | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-23 | Toulouse | ? | 3rd | -1th | +4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 2-4 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength72%
Delivery trend -5.5% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 62% | +0.35 |
| 24/08/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 92% | +0.55 |
| 27/10/2025 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 57% | +0.15 |
| 23/11/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 01/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 89% | +0.18 |
| 11/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 91% | +0.03 |
| 22/04/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 21/05/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 69% | +0.17 |
| 11/07/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |